Quantitative Portfolio Optimisation, Asset Allocation and by Mikkel Rasmussen

By Mikkel Rasmussen

This useful booklet serves as a finished consultant to quantitative portfolio optimization, asset allocation, and hazard administration. offering an available but rigorous method of funding administration, it steadily introduces ever extra complicated quantitative instruments for those parts. utilizing wide examples, this e-book courses the reader from easy go back and possibility research, throughout to portfolio optimization and hazard characterization, and at last directly to absolutely fledged quantitative asset allocation and threat administration. It employs such instruments as stronger sleek portfolio conception utilizing Monte Carlo simulation and complex go back distribution research, research of marginal contributions to absolute and energetic portfolio probability, Value-at-Risk and severe price Theory.

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Additional info for Quantitative Portfolio Optimisation, Asset Allocation and Risk Management (Finance and Capital Markets Series)

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They rest on essentially the same foundation, in that they both depend on the assumption that risk can be expressed adequately as a statistical measure of variation of returns around the mean of returns. Volatility is also the measure of risk most commonly employed by asset managers and analysts, as it is relatively easy to calculate and in addition goes well with the conventional Markowitz-inspired mean-variance optimisation framework that most asset managers employ today. We shall go into significantly more detail about mean-variance analysis in subsequent chapters.

Whether we use the constant growth assumption or the periodic growth assumption, the end result is still a relatively crude estimate of the correct price for a stock. Ideally we would like to be able to predict every variable that might affect the company, and thereby the fair price of the stock, but this task is virtually impossible since it would ultimately require that we forecast every single incident that might affect the company in the future. What we thus need is a reasonable approximation of exact forecasts, and cash flow analysis is one such tool.

In other words, Beta is a measure of the degree to which the returns on an asset tend to move with the return on the market, relative to the magnitude of the market’s return variation. The covariance of an asset with the market is defined similarly to the variance of the return on an asset. 2 the variance of the return on an asset A is defined as: Var(rA) ϭ ΂ ΃ ϭ T Ϫ1 1 ͚ ΂r T 1 r Ϫ rA ͚ T Ϫ 1 tϭ1 A,t 2 T A,t tϭ1 ΃΂r Ϫ rA A,t ΃ Ϫ rA Instead of measuring the sum of the squared deviations from the mean of returns on a single asset, the covariance of an asset’s return with the market’s return measures the sum of the product of the deviations in returns on the asset and the market from their respective means.

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